Liverpool looks to maintain its momentum coming off the break when it visits Leeds United on Sunday for an English Premier League match at Elland Road. The Reds are 2-1-0 and expect to be a title contender again, and they showed that promise in their last match when they played to a gritty 1-1 draw with Chelsea. Leeds is 0-2-1 and has been outscored by its opponents 5-2, but it is a typically a strong attacking team. Last season’s meetings ended in a thrilling 4-3 Liverpool win at Anfield and a 1-1 draw in Leeds.
Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET in Leeds, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) in its latest Leeds vs. Liverpool odds, with Leeds the +360 underdog and a draw priced at +300. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 3.5. Before making any Liverpool vs. Leeds picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken a close look at the Liverpool vs. Leeds matchup and revealed his Premier League expert picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the EPL odds and betting trends for Leeds vs. Liverpool:
- Leeds vs. Liverpool spread: Liverpool -0.5 (-145)
- Leeds vs. Liverpool over-under: 3.5 goals
- Leeds vs. Liverpool money line: Leeds +360, Liverpool +140, Draw +300
- Leeds: The Whites are 3-4-0 in their last seven league games at home.
- Liverpool: The Reds are 5-3-1 in their past nine road games vs. Leeds.
Why you should back Liverpool
The Reds are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings with Leeds and come in at nearly full strength, with only Robert Firmino dealing with injury. They got a boost when the Brazilian Football Association dropped a dispute to allow goalkeeper Alisson and key midfielder Fabinho to play. Liverpool has only allowed the goal to Chelsea and scored five in its first two matches. It has allowed nine shots on target, third-fewest in the league, while firing a league-high 70 total shots.
Liverpool is dangerous in attack and should be able to take advantage of a Leeds approach that doesn’t put much emphasis on defending. Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Diogo Jota are all skilled finishers, with Salah and Jota each scoring twice this season. Salah led the team with 18 goals last season. The back line of Trent Alexander-Arnold, Virgil Van Dijk, Joel Matip and Andy Robertson is a stone wall in front of the talented Alisson, who had 10 clean sheets last season.
Why you should back Leeds
Leeds fought hard in both matchups last season and took at least a point from 13 of 19 home matches (8-5-6). The Whites typically are dangerous in attack and score a lot of goals. They had a plus-8 differential last season on the strength of 62 goals, but that can make them vulnerable on counter-attack. They were fourth in both possession and shots on target last season and are third in possession (62 percent), ahead of No. 4 Liverpool (60.7) this campaign.
The Whites are off to a slow start but were impressive in their return to the top flight last season, finishing in ninth place. They were two points behind Arsenal and three points behind Tottenham in the table. They also could catch the Reds looking ahead, as they kick off Champions League play next week and start League Cup action Sept. 21. Patrick Bamford had 17 goals in 2020-21, tied for fourth in the league, and is one of four players to score and has an assist this year.
How to make Leeds vs. Liverpool picks
Green has taken a close look at the matchup from all sides, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He’s also locked in three best bets, including a strong play on one side. He’s only sharing his expert EPL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So what are the best bets for Liverpool vs. Leeds? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.
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